Pre-Black Friday Holiday Shopping: Initial Findings from Salesforce

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The annual Cyber Week sales period continues to be a critical benchmark for overall digital commerce performance, revealing essential shifts in consumer behavior and technological adoption. Pre-Black Friday findings from Salesforce, based on billions of consumer interactions across its Commerce, Marketing, and Service platforms, underscore significant digital sales growth alongside the ascendance of artificial intelligence (AI) as a pivotal driver of both customer experience and revenue.

Digital Commerce Momentum and Evolving Consumer Dynamics

So far, Cyber Week demonstrated robust digital sales growth despite various economic headwinds, with consumers exhibiting clear preferences in how they engage, pay, and what they purchase. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for optimizing future peak season strategies.

Thanksgiving Day digital sales reached $35.6 billion globally, representing a 6% year-over-year (YoY) increase, with the U.S. contributing $8.4 billion (up 3% YoY). Black Friday alone was projected to generate $78 billion in global online sales and $18 billion in the U.S., cementing its position as the largest single day for online shopping, with sales approximately five times higher than an average non-holiday season day (Salesforce, Pre-Black Friday Coverage). Overall, Cyber Week was anticipated to drive $334 billion in global online sales, an increase of 6% YoY. This sustained growth signals consumer confidence, even as average selling prices (ASP) increased. For example, ASP for home goods categories rose 32% YoY, and food and beverage categories saw a 14% increase, indicating that higher-priced purchases, rather than sheer volume, contributed significantly to sales growth.

Mobile devices solidified their dominance, accounting for 78% of global traffic and 72% of digital orders, emphasizing the necessity of a mobile-first design for all digital properties. Social commerce also emerged as a powerful traffic and conversion channel; 15% of global Thanksgiving traffic and 18% of U.S. traffic originated from social media referrals, up 10% YoY. TikTok notably drove 9% of all global social traffic, reflecting a 50% YoY increase, highlighting its growing influence in discovery and purchase intent. Regarding payments, loyalty points and gift cards saw a 13% YoY increase, while mobile wallet usage grew 6% globally. Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) usage remained flat, suggesting a consumer preference for established payment methods and convenience.

Category performance during Thanksgiving saw significant growth in Home Furniture (up 27% YoY), Active Apparel (up 12% YoY), and Toys & Learning (up 10% YoY) globally. In the U.S., Active Apparel & Footwear led with a 19% YoY increase. Discount rates, while impactful, remained stable compared to prior periods, averaging 26% globally and 28% in the U.S. on Thanksgiving. Leading discounted categories included Makeup (37% globally) and Health & Beauty (36% in the U.S.). This indicates a strategic approach to promotions rather than widespread price slashing.

Summary

The initial Cyber Week data provides a clear mandate for enterprise leaders: AI is no longer optional but a strategic imperative for competitive advantage in digital commerce and customer experience. From driving significant sales growth through branded shopper agents to enhancing operational efficiency in customer service, AI is redefining how businesses interact with consumers. By focusing on robust data readiness, establishing strong governance, developing a pragmatic operating model, and rigorously measuring impact, organizations can successfully leverage AI to meet evolving consumer expectations and secure sustainable growth in an increasingly AI-first retail environment.

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